A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Administrator::insert() should be compatible with MY_Model::insert($data, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: system/Administrator.php

Line Number: 259

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/system/BackPlatform.php
Line: 8
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 7
Function: __construct

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Administrator::update($idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: system/Administrator.php

Line Number: 281

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/system/BackPlatform.php
Line: 8
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 7
Function: __construct

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Menu::insert() should be compatible with MY_Model::insert($data, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: system/Menu.php

Line Number: 82

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/system/BackPlatform.php
Line: 9
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 7
Function: __construct

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Menu::update($idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: system/Menu.php

Line Number: 95

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/system/BackPlatform.php
Line: 9
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 7
Function: __construct

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of MenuCategory::insert() should be compatible with MY_Model::insert($data, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: system/MenuCategory.php

Line Number: 58

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/system/Menu.php
Line: 29
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/system/BackPlatform.php
Line: 9
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 7
Function: __construct

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of MenuCategory::update($idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: system/MenuCategory.php

Line Number: 68

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/system/Menu.php
Line: 29
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/system/BackPlatform.php
Line: 9
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 7
Function: __construct

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Logo::upload_image($sub_idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::upload_image($idx, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: system/Logo.php

Line Number: 100

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/system/BackPlatform.php
Line: 12
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 7
Function: __construct

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Logo::delete_image($sub_idx = NULL) should be compatible with MY_Model::delete_image($idx, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: system/Logo.php

Line Number: 119

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/system/BackPlatform.php
Line: 12
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 7
Function: __construct

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of SEO::insert($property, $property_idx, $data) should be compatible with MY_Model::insert($data, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: system/SEO.php

Line Number: 129

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 7
Function: __construct

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of SEO::update($property, $property_idx, $data) should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: system/SEO.php

Line Number: 151

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 7
Function: __construct

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of SiteInfo::get() should be compatible with MY_Model::get($idx)

Filename: system/SiteInfo.php

Line Number: 24

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 7
Function: __construct

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of SiteInfo::update() should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: system/SiteInfo.php

Line Number: 37

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 7
Function: __construct

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Google::update() should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: system/Google.php

Line Number: 34

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 7
Function: __construct

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Article::insert() should be compatible with MY_Model::insert($data, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: customize/Article.php

Line Number: 257

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 8
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Article::update($idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: customize/Article.php

Line Number: 285

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 8
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Article::upload_image($idx, $sub_idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::upload_image($idx, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: customize/Article.php

Line Number: 307

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 8
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Article_category::insert() should be compatible with MY_Model::insert($data, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: customize/Article_category.php

Line Number: 49

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/customize/Article.php
Line: 31
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 8
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Article_category::update($idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: customize/Article_category.php

Line Number: 61

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/customize/Article.php
Line: 31
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 8
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Article_tag::update($idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: customize/Article_tag.php

Line Number: 71

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/customize/Article.php
Line: 32
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 8
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of A2t::insert($article_idx, $tag_idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::insert($data, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: customize/A2t.php

Line Number: 134

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/customize/Article_tag.php
Line: 20
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/customize/Article.php
Line: 32
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 8
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of A2p::insert($article_idx, $product_idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::insert($data, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: customize/A2p.php

Line Number: 134

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/customize/Article.php
Line: 33
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 8
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Product::insert($temp_key) should be compatible with MY_Model::insert($data, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: customize/Product.php

Line Number: 288

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/customize/A2p.php
Line: 19
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/customize/Article.php
Line: 33
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 8
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Product::update($idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: customize/Product.php

Line Number: 305

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/customize/A2p.php
Line: 19
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/customize/Article.php
Line: 33
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 8
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Product_category::insert() should be compatible with MY_Model::insert($data, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: customize/Product_category.php

Line Number: 189

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/customize/Product.php
Line: 39
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/customize/A2p.php
Line: 19
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/customize/Article.php
Line: 33
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 8
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Product_category::update($idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: customize/Product_category.php

Line Number: 202

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/customize/Product.php
Line: 39
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/customize/A2p.php
Line: 19
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/customize/Article.php
Line: 33
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 8
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of A2c::insert($article_idx, $category_idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::insert($data, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: customize/A2c.php

Line Number: 132

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 14
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Tracking_code::insert($temp_key) should be compatible with MY_Model::insert($data, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: customize/Tracking_code.php

Line Number: 35

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/helpers/header_helper.php
Line: 9
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 207
Function: get_header_footer

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 224
Function: article

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Tracking_code::update($idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: customize/Tracking_code.php

Line Number: 47

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/helpers/header_helper.php
Line: 9
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 207
Function: get_header_footer

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 224
Function: article

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of About::insert() should be compatible with MY_Model::insert($data, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: customize/About.php

Line Number: 25

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/helpers/header_helper.php
Line: 10
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 207
Function: get_header_footer

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 224
Function: article

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of About::update($idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: customize/About.php

Line Number: 36

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/helpers/header_helper.php
Line: 10
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 207
Function: get_header_footer

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 224
Function: article

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Service::insert() should be compatible with MY_Model::insert($data, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: customize/Service.php

Line Number: 25

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/helpers/header_helper.php
Line: 11
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 207
Function: get_header_footer

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 224
Function: article

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Service::update($idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: customize/Service.php

Line Number: 38

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/helpers/header_helper.php
Line: 11
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 207
Function: get_header_footer

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 224
Function: article

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Front_menu::update($idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: customize/Front_menu.php

Line Number: 102

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/helpers/header_helper.php
Line: 12
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 207
Function: get_header_footer

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 224
Function: article

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

換日幣要注意什麼? 換日幣/日幣兌換指南

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of User::update($idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: customize/User.php

Line Number: 89

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/helpers/user_helper.php
Line: 23
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/views/front/common/menu_mobile.php
Line: 17
Function: is_user_login

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/helpers/header_helper.php
Line: 66
Function: view

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 207
Function: get_header_footer

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 224
Function: article

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Cart_setting::get() should be compatible with MY_Model::get($idx)

Filename: system/Cart_setting.php

Line Number: 18

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/system/Cart.php
Line: 11
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/helpers/cart_helper.php
Line: 9
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/views/front/common/menu_mobile.php
Line: 23
Function: get_cart_quantity

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/helpers/header_helper.php
Line: 66
Function: view

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 207
Function: get_header_footer

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 224
Function: article

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Cart_setting::update() should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: system/Cart_setting.php

Line Number: 31

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/models/system/Cart.php
Line: 11
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/helpers/cart_helper.php
Line: 9
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/views/front/common/menu_mobile.php
Line: 23
Function: get_cart_quantity

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/helpers/header_helper.php
Line: 66
Function: view

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 207
Function: get_header_footer

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 224
Function: article

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

0

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Page_banner::update($idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::update($idx, $data)

Filename: customize/Page_banner.php

Line Number: 98

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/helpers/header_helper.php
Line: 153
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/views/front/blog/main.php
Line: 1
Function: get_page_banner

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 214
Function: view

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 224
Function: article

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Warning

Message: Declaration of Page_banner::upload_image($idx, $sub_idx) should be compatible with MY_Model::upload_image($idx, $temp_key = NULL)

Filename: customize/Page_banner.php

Line Number: 110

Backtrace:

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/helpers/header_helper.php
Line: 153
Function: model

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/views/front/blog/main.php
Line: 1
Function: get_page_banner

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 214
Function: view

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/application/controllers/Blog.php
Line: 224
Function: article

File: /home2/beta/public_html/lupopi/index.php
Line: 317
Function: require_once

換日幣要注意什麼? 換日幣/日幣兌換指南

未分類
[更新] 日幣持續破底 你還在猜底部嘛?

[更新] 2013-12月日幣走勢分析



去日本玩

什麼時候該換日幣呢?

好像是一門學問

其實說穿了只有兩種情形









如果你很有錢 什麼時候換都一樣

如果你沒有錢 什麼時候換都一樣







[2014-06-15 補]



有粉絲朋友跟我反應說

我的標題很聳動

"我要換日幣點進來 結果卻要我不要換 幹 什麼爛文章"



其實我並不是要粉絲朋友不要換日幣

我是要你有需要再換



有時候研究一些東西(例如換匯) 從中獲得一點小成就(例如多換了幾百日幣)

是人生一大樂事



但是仔細想想 花了一堆時間

結果只多了幾百日幣

划算嘛? 也許挑個便宜又舒適的旅店(例如東橫Inn)就回來了



匯率跟股票(甚至跟賭博一樣)

一般平民百姓很難(也沒有時間)去研究或是做功課

更何況一年可能就去一趟日本



我想表達的是

為了幾百元日幣

什麼先換起來放 (哪天急需用錢匯率又不好你只好認賠殺出)

什麼先在網銀換 到時候在領出來 (結果還要扣手續費)

你不累嘛?

更何況還不見得會讓你賺到幾百元日幣喔



萬一賠了

開開心心的日本行不就還沒出發就幹在心裡



我想大部分的視聽者都不是身上有20 30萬台幣

可以丟在日幣部位的平民百姓

換起來放是非常不切實際的 "賭博" 行為



視需求再換匯

需求跟投資要分清楚

因小失大得不償失





[本文]



匯率這個東西是這樣

正常的國家

都不會讓匯率波動太大

因為做國際生意的進出口企業

每天都需要換匯



如果波動很大 對企業來說是一種風險

但是企業可以透過購買貨幣期貨(例如美金期貨)

來躲避風險



所以就算你再厲害

可以買在最低

賣在最高

賺到最大的落差

一年內大概也不會賺/賠超過10%

更何況這種情形很少出現









去一次日本 (就說東京好了)

奢侈一點 五天的行程

機+酒以外的費用

五萬台幣算很多了

有的人比較偏好現金

說刷卡會有手續費

其實這也是一種迷思

因為換現金手續費其實也不低

(可以參考這篇換匯的文章)



以不刷卡為前提

假設我很倒楣

換了日幣以後 日幣馬上暴跌

我虧損了10% 然後去東京

那我大概少花了五千元新台幣

換成實際數據的話



大概是從

1新台幣:3日幣



變成



1新台幣:3.3日幣






看不懂匯率的讀者可以把日幣想成蘋果


原本一塊錢台幣可以換到 3 顆蘋果


現在能買到 3.3 顆蘋果 (多了 0.3顆)


先前一樣的錢可以買到的蘋果數量

後來可以買到更多蘋果

所以先換的吃虧了








如果你是出國前一個禮拜兌換

放心

我可以保證絕對不會發生這種事情

(這應該是日本首相保證才對吧)

除非東京發生核爆

被恐怖分子攻擊

之類的事情以致於沒人敢去東京玩

日幣才會如此暴跌



唯一有可能會發生這種情形的狀況

就是先換起來放

有機會導致如此虧損

我不曉得那種部落格

鼓吹買日幣起來放的心態是什麼



如果匯率的波動是可以預期在一定的範圍

那幹嘛先換? (錢太多?)

如果匯率的波動根本無法預期

那先換不就更危險?







你覺得現在的日幣很便宜

不代表他不會 "更便宜"



對日幣做出 "不會跌破100:1美元的" 預測

跟對日幣做出 "會跌破100:1美元的" 預測



基本上 都是預測

都一樣沒什麼道理

這是市場機制

一個商品會漲就表示大家都認同商品超過目前價值

所以商品價值才會上升狂飆

商品價值基本上就是大多數人的共識



賭博之所以令人著迷

就是因為結果不可預測

預測大部分人的想法其實跟賭博沒什麼兩樣









只是換個五萬元台幣的日幣

有必要花那麼多腦筋做研究嘛?

搞的好像外匯操作員一樣

只為了平均2~3%的風險?

說真的那我還寧願多接些案子 多賺些錢

(或是平常少喝點飲料)



如果你有錢 一次換個一百萬

差個2~3% 就差個兩三萬

那就沒話說



換個五萬塊 差個一兩千嘰嘰歪歪

我覺得還是不要出國好了

在電腦前面看看旅遊部落格就好



至於什麼分批買進的

一個人一年頂多去一兩次日本

分批買進

一次是要買進多少日幣?

五千台幣嘛

還是一萬台幣?

結果攤平以後

還是只差2~3%

這樣做有意義嘛?



更何況手續費一次一百(以玉山銀行為例)

換越多次只是爽到銀行而已









長期買進

要是匯率不如預期

是要認賠殺出

還是認賠去日本玩?

根本莫名其妙 本末倒置

為了吃兩根香蕉 種香蕉樹



我有個朋友長期在日本工作

他之前的薪水都是領日幣

日圓高漲 他很high

所以一直都沒換回台幣

(之前日幣還一度到 1新台幣 = 2.6日圓)

如果他現在還沒換回來

大概就幹到暴

辛苦在日本賺的錢 全部打八折

所以先換沒有風險嘛?









講白了就是

貪小便宜



部落客當然不會寫說

"阿我昨天在東京花了兩三百萬蝦拼"

"好爽啊"



因為那樣不會有認同感

因為這是大部分人做不到的事情



就跟黃金傳說每次都會做

一萬日圓過一個月那種梗一樣

因為那個大家都做的到

(理論上可以達成

但是中途會覺得"我到底幹什麼要過的這麼痛苦"而結束)









我認同省錢這件事情

但是貪小便宜通常都不會有什麼好下場